| dc.contributor.author | Nolan, Paul | |
| dc.contributor.author | Flanagan, Jason | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2020-10-13T09:38:04Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2020-10-13T09:38:04Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2020-09 | |
| dc.identifier.citation | Paul Nolan, Jason Flanagan, 'High-resolution Climate Projections for Ireland – A Multi-model Ensemble Approach', [report], Environmental Protection Agency, 2020-09, EPA Research Report, 339, 2020 | en |
| dc.identifier.isbn | 978-1-84095-934-5 | |
| dc.description | The method of regional climate modelling was employed to assess the impacts of a warming climate on the 21st-century climate of Ireland. The regional climate model (RCM) simulations were run at high spatial resolution (3.8 and 4 km), the first systematic study of its kind at this scale, thus allowing a better evaluation of the local effects of climate change. To address the issue of uncertainty, a multi-model ensemble approach was employed. Through the ensemble approach, the uncertainty in the projections can be partly quantified, thus providing a measure of confidence in the projections. Simulations were run for the reference period 1981–2000 and the future period 2041–2060. Differences between the two periods provide a measure of climate change. The Consortium for Small-scale Modeling–Climate Limited-area Modelling (COSMO-CLM) and Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) RCMs were used to downscale the following Coupled Model Intercomparison Project – Phase 5 (CMIP5) global climate model (GCM) datasets: CNRM-CM5, EC-EARTH (four ensemble members), HadGEM2-ES, MIROC5 and MPI-ESM-LR. To account for the uncertainty in future greenhouse gas emissions, the future climate was simulated under both the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) and RCP8.5 scenarios. | en |
| dc.language.iso | en | en |
| dc.publisher | Environmental Protection Agency | en |
| dc.rights | Y | en |
| dc.subject | Temperature | en |
| dc.subject | Precipitation | en |
| dc.subject | Wind | en |
| dc.subject | Solar energy | en |
| dc.subject | Flooding | en |
| dc.subject | Agriculture | en |
| dc.subject | Evapotranspiration | en |
| dc.subject | CMIP | en |
| dc.subject | IPCC | en |
| dc.subject | COSMO-CLM | en |
| dc.subject | Representative Concentration Pathway RCP | en |
| dc.subject | Greenhouse gas concentration | en |
| dc.subject | Emission | en |
| dc.subject | Regional Climate Projections Ireland | en |
| dc.title | High-resolution Climate Projections for Ireland – A Multi-model Ensemble Approach | en |
| dc.type | report | en |
| dc.type.supercollection | edepositireland | |
| dc.publisher.place | ireland | en |
| dc.rights.ecaccessrights | openAccess | |
| dc.relation.ispartofseriesdate | 2020 | en |
| dc.relation.ispartofseriestitle | EPA Research Report | en |
| dc.relation.ispartofseriesvolume | 339 | en |
| dc.rights.holder | Environmental Protection Agency | en |
| dc.relation.relatedto | EPA Research Programme 2014–2020 | |
| dc.contributor.sponsor | Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) | en |
| dc.contributor.sponsorGrantNumber | 2014-CCRP-MS.23 | en |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/2262/93746 | |
